Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.037480 0.040523 0.043719 0.047332 0.051307 0.055555 0.060446
2025-03-02 0.032615 0.036913 0.041681 0.047385 0.054047 0.061616 0.070911
2025-03-09 0.028944 0.033878 0.039578 0.046692 0.055391 0.065756 0.079155
2025-03-16 0.026080 0.031345 0.037626 0.045738 0.056033 0.068794 0.086012
2025-03-23 0.024034 0.029543 0.036296 0.045278 0.057054 0.072165 0.093349
2025-03-30 0.022352 0.028015 0.035126 0.044833 0.057929 0.075265 0.100430
2025-04-06 0.020729 0.026423 0.033721 0.043911 0.058012 0.077204 0.105948
2025-04-13 0.019862 0.025739 0.033427 0.044407 0.059991 0.081803 0.115528
2025-04-20 0.018913 0.024873 0.032814 0.044385 0.061191 0.085323 0.123752
2025-04-27 0.018269 0.024372 0.032648 0.044950 0.063229 0.090152 0.134313
2025-05-04 0.017423 0.023536 0.031956 0.044694 0.064007 0.093107 0.142136
2025-05-11 0.016682 0.022804 0.031360 0.044522 0.064868 0.096208 0.150404
2025-05-18 0.015926 0.022017 0.030652 0.044151 0.065413 0.098872 0.158236
2025-05-25 0.015323 0.021421 0.030188 0.044114 0.066466 0.102409 0.167864
2025-06-01 0.014599 0.020611 0.029361 0.043459 0.066468 0.104195 0.174535
2025-06-08 0.013872 0.019760 0.028429 0.042579 0.066034 0.105192 0.179826
2025-06-15 0.013312 0.019136 0.027809 0.042156 0.066318 0.107413 0.187553
2025-06-22 0.012794 0.018552 0.027221 0.041746 0.066586 0.109603 0.195389
2025-06-29 0.012209 0.017838 0.026396 0.040900 0.066041 0.110286 0.200316
2025-07-06 0.011956 0.017630 0.026359 0.041355 0.067787 0.115230 0.214198
2025-07-13 0.011613 0.017266 0.026052 0.041335 0.068677 0.118641 0.225257
2025-07-20 0.011404 0.017104 0.026063 0.041854 0.070564 0.124056 0.241068
2025-07-27 0.011051 0.016697 0.025654 0.041619 0.071044 0.126783 0.251331